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Oscar Predictions 2016

 

Oscar Predictions 2016
The Envelope Please:
Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed

by Kam Williams

            The Envelope Please, Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed, Hollywood, Oscar Predictions, Lets be honest, February 28, hosted by Chris Rock

It’s unfortunate that there’s a dark cloud hanging over the Oscars because of the absence of any black actors or actresses among the nominees for the second year in a row. What’s worse is the way the controversy is creating a rift in the Hollywood community.

A number of African-American icons like Jada Pinkett Smith and Spike Lee have called for a boycott. In response, some of their colleagues have pushed back just as forcefully against what they say would amount to participation trophies for members of ethnic groups.

Jada is ostensibly upset that her hubby Will’s excellent work as a physician in Concussion was overlooked. If he’s looking for accolades, he’d do better to play a violent outlaw, which is what it generally takes for a black male to catch the Academy’s eye. And African-American females fare far better when they portray someone who’s homeless than someone who’s wholesome, as was the case on 9 of the 10 occasions when a sister was nominated for Best Actress.   

Contributing to the brouhaha was Best Actress nominee Charlotte Rampling who dismissed the complaints by blacks as “racist against whites.” The British star of 45 Years even went so far as to suggest that “maybe black actors did not deserve to make the final list.”

Should the glaring omission of minorities be considered just a case of sour grapes or might it be symptomatic of a deep-seated societal problem? Perhaps, what needs to be revisited is the question of what criteria the Academy relies upon in assessing the quality of a performance.

For example, think back to 2001 when Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon was nominated for 10 Oscars, but none in any acting categories, despite a number of superb performances. You can’t but help wonder whether the outcome might have been different, if whites had played the lead roles.

After all, the industry has historically preferred to have Caucasians play Asian characters, even Charlie Chan and Fu Man Chu. Consequently, we’ve witnessed everyone from Rex Harrison to Mickey Rooney to Peter Sellers donning yellowface and adopting offensive accents to present a perverted image of Asians.

In fact, in less enlightened times, numerous whites appearing in yellow, brown and blackface have been nominated for Oscars, including H.B. Warner as an Asian in Lost Horizon, Marlon Brando as a Latino in Viva Zapata!, Jennifer Jones as an Asian in Love Is a Many-Splendored Thing, Laurence Olivier as a black man in Othello, and Susan Kohner as an African-American in Imitation of Life, to name a few.

Let’s be honest, things have improved substantially over the years. And yes, there is still far to go. But Oscar voting is very subjective and unlikely to change substantially until Hollywood fully embraces colorblind casting and the ranks of Academy reflects the diversity of the general population.   

If, despite all of the above, you are still tempted to tune in to the Oscars, I hope my predictions below help you prevail in an office or online pool. The 88th Academy Awards will air live on ABC this Sunday, February 28th at 8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT, and will be hosted by Chris Rock.    

Best Picture     

Will Win: The Revenant

Deserves to Win: Spotlight

Overlooked: Creed, Desert Dancer and Kingsman: The Secret Service

Best Director

Will Win: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (The Revenant)

Deserves to Win: Thomas McCarthy (Spotlight)

Overlooked: Ryan Coogler (Creed), Richard Raymond (Desert Dancer) and Matthew Vaughn (Kingsman: The Secret Service)

Best Actor

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

Deserves to Win:  Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Overlooked: Jake Gyllenhaal (Southpaw), Michael B. Jordan (Creed), Will Smith (Concussion) and Johnny Depp (Black Mass)

Best Actress

Will Win: Brie Larson (Room)

Deserves to Win: Brie Larson (Room)

Overlooked: Freida Pinto (Desert Dancer), Amy Schumer (Trainwreck) and Greta Gerwig (Mistress America)

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Deserves to Win: Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)

Overlooked: Michael Keaton (Spotlight), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation) and Samuel L. Jackson (Kingsman: The Secret Service)

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Deserves to Win: Rooney Mara (Carol)

Overlooked: Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina), Lola Kirke (Mistress America) and Kiersey Clemons (Dope)

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Spotlight

Deserves to Win: Spotlight

Overlooked: Dope, Mistress America and Trainwreck

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: The Big Short

Deserves to Win: Room

Overlooked:  Kingsman: The Secret Service, Desert Dancer and Me & Earl & the Dying Girl

Predictions for the Balance of the Categories

Animated Feature: Inside Out

Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul

Documentary Feature: Amy

Cinematography: The Revenant

Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road

Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road

Film Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road

Makeup and Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road

Original Score: The Hateful Eight

Best Song: Til It Happens to You (The Hunting Ground)

Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road

Sound Mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road

Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Animated Short: Sanjay’s Super Team

Documentary Short: Body Team 12

Live Action Short: Ave Maria

Entertainment

Against-the-Odds Documentary Chronicles the Inspirational Ascension of Youtube Singing Sensation

  Presenting Princess Shaw Film Review by Kam Williams Against-the-Odds Documentary Chronicles the Inspirational Ascension of Youtube Singing Sensation By day, Samantha Montgomery cared for the elderly as an orderly in a New Orleans old folks home. After hours, however, the aspiring singer/songwriter spent most of her free time pursuing her elusive dream of superstardom. As Princess Shaw,  she would perform solo in local clubs on open mic nights, mostly in front … [Read More its Good for You...]

Books

From #Black Lives Matter to Black Liberation

  From #Black Lives Matter to Black Liberation by Keeanga-Yamahtta Taylor Haymarket Books Paperback, $17.95 286 pages ISBN: 978-1-60846-562-0 Book Review by Kam Williams “The eruption of mass protests in the wake of the police murders of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, and Eric Garner in New York City have challenged the impunity with which officers of the law carry out violence against Black people and punctured the illusion of a postracial America. The … [Read More its Good for You...]

Art

ART EXHIBITION: 150 Years After The Civil War

  Cynthia Groya 150 Years After The Civil War: A Contemporary Perspective January 10 - March 6, 2016 Artist's Reception: Sunday, January 24, 3:00 - 5:00 pm Nassau Club 6 Mercer Street  Princeton, NJ 08540 The ideas reflected in Groya's paintings express a conversation about struggle for equal rights in our culture, in our time. The origin of this struggle can be traced to The Civil War in our country, which ended 150 years ago. The … [Read More its Good for You...]

Real Estate

Tips for Building a Farm Pond

  Tips for Building a Farm Pond By Burt Carey Growing up in rural Northern California, my two brothers and I were blessed to have a down-the-road neighbor who allowed us to fish in his farm pond just about anytime we wanted. It came to be known to us as Jack’s Lake. The pond sat across a fallow cattle pasture at the bottom of a natural gully that collected rainwater from hundreds of surrounding acres. Jack’s Lake stretched nearly a quarter-mile north to south … [Read More its Good for You...]

Lifestyle

Eco-Friendly Entrepreneurs

  Eco-Friendly Entrepreneurs by Amy Lignor   Depending on who you talk to in the big, old U.S. of A. as of late, when it comes to the political future of our country the outlook is hazy at best. Is big business going to come back full-force if a huge businessman takes the helm of President? Not likely. As statistics show, the first step in Trump’s life is what is coming on full-force: entrepreneurs. Whether these numbers are climbing because of politics … [Read More it Good for You...]

Outdoors

Yamaha Propeller Selector, Endless Propeller Solutions

  Yamaha Propeller Selector, Endless Propeller Solutions   The Yamaha Propeller selection page on Yamaha’s webpage is a great tool for every boat owner as a tool not only to make sure the correct prop is on their boat but also gives the ability and freedom to change the prop with ease, depending on the application. Everyone knows the equipment used for bass fishing is not the same for chasing tuna offshore, and the same logic applies to selecting a prop. At … [Read More its Good for You...]

Sports

Braves Fire Manager Fredi Gonzalez

  Braves Fire Manager Fredi Gonzalez By Burt Carey   Just 37 games into the 2016 season, the Atlanta Braves fired manager Fredi Gonzalez on Tuesday amidst the ballclub’s slowest start in its history. Gonzalez took over as the Braves manager in 2010 following the retirement of Bobby Cox. He led the Braves to three consecutive winning seasons, including 94- and 96-win seasons in 2012 and 2013, but couldn’t overcome the club’s dismal finish in 2015 and … [Read More its Good for You...]

Business

Small Brand – Huge Idea

  Small Brand - Huge Idea by Amy Lignor   Big business will consistently state that although they are trying to make their products more environmentally safe, or trying to become more eco-friendly, the proof they are doing so remains slim to none. To be fair, there are various industries, such as the lodging industry, that are doing a great deal to alter their services and products to better meet a “greener” world. Everything from using recycled … [Read More its Good for You...]

Travel

TSA Under Fire for Long Airport Lines

  TSA Under Fire for Long Airport Lines By Burt Carey From New York to Chicago to Atlanta and other major U.S. cities, airport travelers have been complaining for weeks about delays and long lines at security checkpoints. On Friday Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson tried to quell the unrest, announcing that the beleaguered Transportation Security Administration would be adding hundreds of front-line screeners at the nation’s busiest airports. TSA … [Read More its Good for You...]

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